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Is the Party Already Over at Turntable.fm? Take a Look...

Tuesday, November 22, 2011
by  paul

Is Turntable.fm already so... last month? Has the fickle internet already chewed this site up, spit it out, and moved onto something else?                     

It sounds unthinkable, given that Turntable is just a few months old.  Until you look at the traffic stats, which show an incredible surge in June, followed by a subsequent slide back to Earth. 

Like this unique visitor count from Compete.com. 

 

And, an almost unbelievable match from Google search trend data.

 

Or, this ranking data from Alexa, which displays a remarkably similar story.

 

The traffic data seriously challenges the industry hype - and the hyper-growth story being told by Turntable itself.  In a recent interview with VatorNews, cofounder Seth Goldstein pointed to a growing registered userbase that is already past one million, and a growing number of hardcore users.  "We have a passionate core of 20,000 to 40,000 users, who use the service 10-20 hours a month," Goldstein relayed.

Then again, there are factors inhibiting growth.  Like international licensing, or lack therof.  Currently, Turntable.fm is flatly illegal outside of the US, given the absence of DMCA protections. "We had to shut off international access very early on, because the DMCA provisions don't support international access," Goldstein continued. "And early on, Japan, Brazil, and some of these other countries were huge consumers." 

That could be solved by major label licensing, which would also theoretically open a range of new usage possibilities not covered by DMCA licensing.  Those discussions are happening, but there's one glaring problem: big licenses cost big money, and investors rarely see a big return on those investments. 



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