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America: Damned If You Launch Here, Damned If You Don't...

Wednesday, October 19, 2011
by  paul

There isn't a hotter music play in America right now. But crossing the Atlantic was incredibly costly for Spotify, and who knows if this company can survive its own cash-burn.  The reason is simple: stateside majors not only extracted ransoms for the pleasure of licensing America, but they also negotiated comfy ownership stakes according to our sources.  

And for Spotify, that was on top of pre-2011 licensing costs of roughly $131 million, according to publicly-filed paperwork.  And, cumulative losses topping $68 million since late 2007.

So, still want to play in America? Well, sources to Digital Music News have told us there wasn't really an option for Spotify: investors demanded a global play, they wanted a multi-national, dominant music service of iTunes-level stature.  That's what you get for $100 million.  And the US - not Europe - is where huge scale, disposable income (at least historically), and gigantic partnerships come into play.  

Which is exactly why Deezer - sometimes called 'the Spotify of France' - is staying away. "The minute that I tell the major music labels that I am not interested in signing for rights to the US, the negotiations over terms become much much easier," Deezer CEO Alex Dauchez recently told Reuters.

The Deezer strategy now involves an aggressive expansion towards 100 countries - except, of course, the US (and Japan).  Too expensive, too risky, too great a chance of getting buried and burned amidst the competition.  And this is a movie we've seen over and over again.  

Instead, the Deezer strategy is to play in far less competitive, overseas markets.  But according to the American companies we've talked to, that's just dancing with another devil. "One European country is like one American state," one entrepreneur at a well-established startup relayed.  "But you need to license that state, go through the headache, spend endless time there, understand each culture, setup offices there.  Would you do that to win Kentucky?"

Unfortunately, there's a lot of truth to the stereotype that Americans are geographically illiterate.  But even those that know their geo-political boundaries are less sensitive to something else: it's actually quite difficult to scale a region like Europe.  Just ask Apple.  "What a lot of Americans don't realize is that each country is totally different than the next.  It's not like you can just launch across a bunch of countries like you can [in the US]."

Which sounds nothing like the borderless digital world we'd been expecting.  And it makes America one bitch of a playground.

/paul. Written while listening to BT.

 



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